Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
| Money | FAIR +370 SIE -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -14.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -11.6 (+4.6) | 132.9 (+10.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -11.6 (+4.6) | 133.1 (+9.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -11.6 (+4.6) | 134.6 (+8.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -11.1 (+4.1) | 134.2 (+8.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#320) | 5.6 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#313) | 2.16 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#295) | 3.03 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#304) | 0.614 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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