Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | NEB +220 IU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -7.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -7.1 (-0.9) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -5.5 (-2.5) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -7.6 (-0.4) | 142.9 (+17.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -6.7 (-1.3) | 142.0 (+18.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 7-12 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#134) | 11.6 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#214) | 2.08 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#183) | 3.47 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#199) | 0.566 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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