Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | UNA -115 STET -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | STET -2.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -1.7 (+8.7) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -0.1 (+7.1) | 141.7 (-2.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -1.2 (+8.2) | 146.3 (-7.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -1.4 (+8.4) | 145.2 (-6.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNA 68 – 66 STET |
| Jan 1, 2026 | STET 70 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNA 92 – 64 STET |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UNA 79 – 72 STET |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STET 79 – 57 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#335) | -9.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#321) | -0.33 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#321) | -0.68 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.315 (#340) | 0.429 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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