Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | CSUF -120 LBSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -6.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -3.4 (-0.4) | 154.5 (-7.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -3.0 (+0.0) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -3.6 (-0.6) | 153.1 (-6.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -3.7 (-0.7) | 151.9 (-4.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 4-8 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#284) | -11.2 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#314) | -0.05 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.28 (#316) | -0.81 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.290 (#344) | 0.454 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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