Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -320 LEH +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -5.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -7.5 (+7.5) | 142.8 (-11.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -5.6 (+9.4) | 135.4 (-4.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -7.6 (+7.4) | 143.9 (-12.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -7.7 (+7.3) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
Game Analysis
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