Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | SDSU -700 NEV +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -12.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -10.4 (-8.4) | 134.7 (+1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -8.4 (-6.4) | 133.8 (+2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -9.6 (-7.6) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -10.4 (-8.4) | 135.9 (+0.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 57 NEV |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 68 NEV |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SDSU 80 – 61 NEV |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SDSU 69 – 50 NEV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NEV 70 – 66 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#39) | 1.3 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#31) | 0.51 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#40) | 0.44 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#14) | 0.552 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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