Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | LAF -270 BUCK +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -16.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -15.8 (-4.8) | 147.5 (+15.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -14.6 (-3.6) | 148.6 (+14.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -15.2 (-4.2) | 149.6 (+13.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -15.9 (-4.9) | 147.0 (+16.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 15, 2026 | BUCK 76 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 9, 2025 | BUCK 65 – 62 LAF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BUCK 60 – 50 LAF |
Game Analysis
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