Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -140 BRAD +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -3.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.4 (+8.4) | 137.1 (+12.9) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.5 (+7.5) | 136.2 (+13.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.6 (+7.6) | 138.8 (+11.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -2.4 (+8.4) | 136.7 (+13.3) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | 5.2 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#244) | 1.03 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#225) | 1.04 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#169) | 0.555 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.