Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.0 Under |
| Money | IOWA -600 MINN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -11.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -9.9 (+5.1) | 163.9 (-6.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -8.7 (+6.3) | 163.8 (-6.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -9.6 (+5.4) | 166.2 (-9.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -9.7 (+5.3) | 163.1 (-6.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MINN 72 – 67 IOWA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IOWA 90 – 85 MINN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | IOWA 68 – 56 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#5) | 11.8 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#10) | 3.13 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.98 (#7) | 4.62 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#39) | 0.650 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 2.07 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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