If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–21 on winners spread MAE 6.8 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Haven @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.1 123.7 43% 84–77 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -2.1 141.7 43% 70–64 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +6.4 149.3 74% 102–82 ✗
Furman @ Wofford +0.5 147.1 55% 76–67 ✗
New Orleans @ Lamar +1.5 146.8 57% 77–71 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine +2.5 155.8 63% 95–92 ✗
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville -7.3 139.3 22% 65–61 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -11.6 141.9 13% 71–72 ✗
Illinois @ UCLA -6.3 148.1 28% 94–95 ✗
Illinois State @ Bradley +1.0 144.9 58% 60–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Belmont +15.0 155.4 88% 70–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +8.2 144.4 84% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State -5.5 146.7 30% 80–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Grand Canyon +6.8 144.1 75% 70–65 ✗
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts -0.7 151.5 47% 62–67 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese +13.6 137.6 87% 54–70 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado +11.6 145.8 87% 77–78 ✓
Providence @ DePaul +1.5 154.1 55% 71–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +0.1 163.1 50% 75–71 ✗
Kentucky @ Auburn +1.6 155.2 58% 74–75 ✓
Pacific @ Gonzaga +18.6 144.2 91% 62–71 ✓
UCF @ Utah -2.2 149.8 45% 73–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State -2.8 154.2 38% 78–76 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +5.9 140.4 74% 63–67 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.2 155.7 29% 88–80 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +0.9 150.1 54% 72–92 ✓
Utah State @ Nevada -3.8 149.6 38% 77–80 ✗
Santa Clara @ San Francisco -6.9 153.0 26% 94–73 ✓
Portland @ Seattle U +9.0 136.8 81% 59–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +5.3 146.8 73% 75–78 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +3.8 135.6 70% 71–69 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -2.4 154.9 45% 86–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -7.1 144.9 25% 83–67 ✓
Iowa State @ BYU -0.2 153.3 39% 69–79 ✗
American University @ Lafayette -2.6 138.9 38% 75–61 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +4.2 145.3 68% 78–67 ✗
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +0.3 134.6 45% 72–63 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh -0.7 149.8 33% 67–70 ✗
Niagara @ Rider -0.7 129.0 34% 62–67 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan State +7.0 149.0 81% 60–66 ✓
Iona @ Merrimack +6.1 135.4 77% 86–88 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +0.2 147.1 48% 70–74 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Marist +9.4 140.4 83% 63–65 ✓
Rice @ Tulane +5.5 142.9 73% 75–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +5.6 143.1 71% 85–79 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Youngstown State +2.7 150.2 62% 58–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +4.2 146.5 67% 81–68 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Cleveland State -0.8 155.6 49% 92–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Siena +3.9 135.8 66% 63–72 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +6.8 132.5 70% 47–68 ✓
Towson @ Drexel -0.2 130.1 42% 62–68 ✗
Milwaukee @ Oakland +7.6 157.4 79% 70–81 ✓
Iowa @ Wisconsin +2.2 145.9 64% 71–84 ✓
UTSA @ Tulsa +22.5 151.3 91% 74–100 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +0.7 139.7 45% 72–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.