And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–22 on winners spread MAE 10.0 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
BYU @ Utah -5.0 151.0 38% 69–73 ✗
James Madison @ Old Dominion -8.9 154.8 20% 84–69 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ South Dakota +7.9 138.3 78% 73–78 ✓
Akron @ Northern Kentucky +3.0 133.7 62% 77–76 ✗
Western Illinois @ Green Bay +8.4 134.1 78% 68–59 ✗
Kennesaw State @ South Carolina Upstate +2.4 152.6 62% 84–77 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +25.2 145.3 91% 80–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Illinois State +6.3 133.0 65% 64–58 ✗
Sam Houston @ Missouri State +8.1 149.0 78% 60–69 ✓
South Dakota State @ Wichita State +3.0 143.9 66% 79–69 ✗
UCLA @ Villanova +7.2 133.8 75% 56–65 ✓
Pacific @ Fresno State +11.5 139.1 85% 56–89 ✓
Murray State @ Austin Peay +1.1 137.2 52% 49–53 ✓
Drake @ Nevada +2.2 146.4 56% 72–53 ✗
NJIT @ Wake Forest +18.8 147.7 90% 59–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Southern Utah +5.4 141.8 66% 74–82 ✓
Rutgers @ Seton Hall +4.8 133.6 63% 70–63 ✗
Belmont @ Middle Tennessee +0.7 142.8 52% 75–65 ✗
Notre Dame @ Marquette +20.7 135.5 90% 59–78 ✓
Cal Poly @ Weber State +10.6 132.5 82% 50–78 ✓
UTEP @ Oregon +14.7 144.5 86% 49–71 ✓
Idaho @ Utah Tech +7.9 141.3 72% 63–62 ✗
UC San Diego @ Pepperdine +3.0 140.7 68% 62–68 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UNLV -2.3 141.0 41% 78–75 ✓
UC Irvine @ San Diego State +8.4 144.1 80% 62–63 ✓
Arizona State @ San Diego -1.2 140.7 51% 84–89 ✗
Gonzaga @ Washington +3.8 152.8 68% 73–78 ✓
North Texas @ Fordham -3.6 132.5 39% 59–60 ✗
Brown @ Providence +15.0 140.3 87% 54–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Little Rock +3.0 157.4 58% 85–68 ✗
Boston University @ Wagner +2.9 127.5 58% 73–59 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +0.7 139.3 66% 70–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Iowa State +20.2 146.6 89% 56–107 ✓
Colorado @ Miami +1.0 151.7 54% 90–63 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Ball State +2.8 135.2 62% 71–83 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northwestern +19.5 138.4 90% 59–91 ✓
Rhode Island @ Charleston +7.3 144.9 78% 70–85 ✓
Alcorn State @ VCU +14.6 146.3 87% 58–86 ✓
St. Thomas @ Chicago State -2.1 131.7 40% 66–50 ✓
Morehead State @ North Alabama +3.1 143.4 61% 86–77 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Illinois +10.6 136.2 73% 73–70 ✗
Memphis @ Texas A&M +9.7 149.7 80% 81–75 ✗
Long Beach State @ USC +11.2 153.2 81% 84–79 ✗
Ole Miss @ UCF +8.2 141.7 77% 70–68 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ East Tennessee State +9.7 138.3 81% 72–73 ✓
Michigan @ Iowa +6.8 158.4 72% 90–80 ✗
Elon @ UNC Greensboro +12.8 154.4 87% 73–82 ✓
St. John's @ Boston College -1.2 149.9 47% 80–86 ✗
Tennessee State @ Lipscomb +8.4 147.6 81% 71–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Iona +13.9 136.1 86% 54–61 ✓
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State +0.4 142.4 53% 57–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska +1.8 136.6 62% 70–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.