And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–11 on winners spread MAE 11.0 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Michigan State -5.5 130.5 28% 77–86 ✗
Winthrop @ Auburn +13.8 139.3 84% 65–89 ✓
Buffalo @ UConn +27.0 147.8 90% 64–84 ✓
Washington State @ Prairie View A&M — — — 59–70 —
Morgan State @ Akron +7.5 146.6 80% 59–65 ✓
Bowling Green @ Wright State +4.8 151.1 72% 71–80 ✓
Bucknell @ Saint Peter's -0.2 137.6 66% 71–82 ✗
Mercer @ Georgia State +1.4 134.9 56% 83–85 ✓
James Madison @ Howard -12.3 158.1 18% 95–69 ✓
Stony Brook @ Rhode Island +5.6 129.3 74% 64–74 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fordham +1.8 150.1 70% 61–79 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Drexel +13.4 141.7 82% 64–59 ✗
Dartmouth @ Quinnipiac +16.0 155.8 88% 72–81 ✓
Rice @ Middle Tennessee +12.2 148.3 86% 46–81 ✓
Queens University @ La Salle +7.1 151.3 77% 60–72 ✓
Central Connecticut @ St. John's +22.4 155.2 88% 74–91 ✓
Binghamton @ Maryland +16.6 136.4 81% 52–76 ✓
Morehead State @ West Virginia +24.8 134.9 89% 57–75 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Temple +9.3 136.0 73% 89–87 ✗
Utah Valley @ Wake Forest +12.9 139.8 82% 65–68 ✓
Colgate @ Syracuse +8.5 155.9 68% 80–68 ✗
Florida A&M @ Miami +22.3 131.2 90% 61–87 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Clemson +15.5 134.2 89% 70–81 ✓
Alcorn State @ Stephen F. Austin +10.1 142.4 75% 69–60 ✗
Chattanooga @ Ole Miss +16.9 142.7 82% 58–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina +12.2 148.1 83% 66–72 ✓
Pacific @ North Dakota +2.9 152.3 59% 93–63 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bradley +4.3 146.7 59% 61–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Texas Southern +4.1 146.5 64% 82–64 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ South Dakota State +3.9 144.1 63% 62–66 ✓
New Mexico @ SMU +9.3 147.2 83% 84–63 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Oklahoma +6.3 126.2 75% 53–74 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Missouri +14.8 160.9 82% 80–105 ✓
Marquette @ Purdue +7.5 140.0 69% 70–75 ✓
San Diego State @ Stanford +4.8 143.1 67% 74–62 ✗
Montana State @ Oregon +3.8 132.2 60% 51–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Xavier +18.3 147.9 86% 65–78 ✓
Memphis @ Saint Louis +13.5 150.2 82% 84–90 ✓
Green Bay @ Wisconsin +29.1 130.4 91% 45–56 ✓
Florida International @ NC State +24.7 151.0 89% 74–107 ✓
Alabama @ South Alabama -2.5 143.0 40% 65–55 ✓
Alabama State @ San José State +23.1 139.6 90% 57–70 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ California Baptist +1.7 130.3 70% 55–62 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UC Irvine +18.8 143.2 84% 64–79 ✓
California @ UC San Diego +3.5 133.2 61% 62–64 ✓
Duke @ Kansas -4.5 131.0 36% 64–69 ✗
Dayton @ UNLV +7.8 137.5 66% 52–60 ✓
Vermont @ USC +10.8 148.1 81% 57–59 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Kent State +19.9 137.7 88% 68–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ UMass Lowell +23.4 154.1 90% 81–90 ✓
Michigan @ Pittsburgh -5.7 145.7 31% 91–60 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.