Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–11 on winners spread MAE 9.2 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Duquesne +10.2 147.5 82% 71–96 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Marshall +15.2 140.9 86% 65–91 ✓
Cornell @ Saint Francis +9.2 141.5 77% 80–77 ✗
Portland @ Kent State +14.8 151.7 78% 65–77 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +2.4 142.7 68% 68–67 ✗
Western Illinois @ UCF +3.9 151.9 60% 37–70 ✓
Navy @ Coppin State +0.8 148.5 51% 68–75 ✓
Lafayette @ Saint Joseph's +2.9 137.0 56% 59–63 ✓
Richmond @ Charleston +1.0 149.9 51% 90–92 ✓
George Washington @ Hofstra +15.9 155.1 83% 80–85 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Charlotte +22.7 140.9 89% 47–80 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Liberty -2.7 147.6 29% 63–79 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Georgia +13.2 144.5 78% 70–77 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida +19.3 145.3 88% 76–74 ✗
DePaul @ Minnesota +5.2 135.7 67% 69–53 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Houston +22.8 138.7 88% 45–83 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Baylor +34.3 153.0 91% 62–95 ✓
Northwestern State @ TCU +10.7 141.9 78% 64–63 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Texas Tech — — — 55–64 —
Jacksonville State @ UIC — — — 60–67 —
Wofford @ Drake +17.7 141.1 86% 72–80 ✓
Belmont @ Lipscomb +7.5 149.2 77% 75–77 ✓
Little Rock @ Central Arkansas +3.2 147.9 62% 71–82 ✓
Idaho State @ Utah +21.6 128.2 87% 58–70 ✓
Troy @ Florida State — — — 79–72 —
Butler @ Penn State +9.9 148.2 74% 62–68 ✓
Holy Cross @ Creighton +27.7 146.3 89% 65–94 ✓
Monmouth @ Illinois +34.1 141.7 91% 65–103 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Tennessee State +22.3 145.2 87% 76–87 ✓
Sacramento State @ Denver +5.7 128.9 62% 73–69 ✗
Santa Clara @ Utah State +11.0 146.8 81% 74–96 ✓
Weber State @ Colorado State +12.9 133.7 84% 52–77 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Air Force +9.8 139.9 80% 73–69 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Chicago State +10.8 140.1 82% 58–68 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Mississippi Valley State -6.8 138.8 18% 60–52 ✓
Norfolk State @ UCLA +19.1 145.9 87% 56–86 ✓
Utah Tech @ Washington +9.7 138.5 79% 67–78 ✓
Yale @ Hawai'i +4.4 128.5 44% 62–59 ✗
Stonehill @ Providence +14.1 153.5 86% 76–100 ✓
App State @ Louisville +0.4 141.5 58% 61–60 ✗
Northwestern @ Georgetown +6.8 147.8 67% 75–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.