Mississippi Valley State
Delta Devils
52
–
60
FINAL
Neutral
Rainbow Classic
Eastern Washington
Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +1200 EWU -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -12.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -7.1 (-0.9) | 137.3 (-25.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -7.9 (-0.1) | 133.8 (-21.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.9 (-1.1) | 139.1 (-27.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.8 (-1.2) | 138.8 (-26.8) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 16-2 |
| Home | 4-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-19 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#355) | -5.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#307) | -1.14 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#309) | -1.52 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#131) | 0.500 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.38 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.7% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 25.8% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 50.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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