Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -800 WOF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -14.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -17.7 (-9.7) | 141.1 (+10.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -13.3 (-5.3) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#103) | -0.1 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#143) | -0.44 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#134) | -0.60 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#131) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.0% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 34.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 30.5% | 62.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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