Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -8000 HC +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +29 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -26.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -27.7 (+1.3) | 146.3 (+12.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -25.5 (+3.5) | 146.2 (+12.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -20.3 (+8.7) | 147.5 (+11.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#18) | -5.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#48) | -1.79 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#43) | -2.52 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.854 (#18) | 0.500 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 11.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 41.2% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 87.3% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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