Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +130 NAVY -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | COPP -3.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -3.0 (+10.0) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -1.0 (+6.0) | 147.1 (-4.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -0.8 (+6.2) | 148.5 (-5.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -0.9 (+7.9) | 144.7 (-1.7) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | NAVY 88 – 55 COPP |
| Dec 21, 2024 | COPP 68 – 60 NAVY |
| Dec 3, 2023 | NAVY 75 – 52 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-16 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#215) | 6.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#195) | 1.90 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#199) | 2.68 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#215) | 0.583 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 51.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 12.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.