Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | WASH -1700 UTU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -9.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.9 (+3.1) | 138.5 (+6.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -10.4 (+0.6) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -9.7 (+1.3) | 138.5 (+6.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#237) | -1.2 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#91) | 0.18 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#97) | 0.35 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#131) | 0.750 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 39.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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