Betting Lines
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +105 NU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | GTWN -6.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -6.8 (-18.8) | 147.8 (-9.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -5.6 (-17.6) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -4.4 (-16.4) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-12 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#106) | 7.2 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#90) | 0.67 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#89) | 0.94 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#106) | 0.469 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 46.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 40.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 34.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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