Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -700 NCCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -2.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -2.9 (+18.9) | 146.9 (-4.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -3.2 (+19.2) | 146.7 (-4.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -2.7 (+18.7) | 147.6 (-5.6) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 19-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#319) | 4.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#226) | -0.68 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#236) | -0.82 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#131) | 0.500 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 23.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 15.4% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 58.6% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 59.6% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.