Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +16 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -7.9 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.2 (-21.2) | 135.7 (-13.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -4.9 (-20.9) | 125.8 (-3.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -5.7 (-21.7) | 137.1 (-15.1) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 3-17 |
| Home | 6-11 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#259) | -0.9 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#114) | 2.04 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#131) | 3.34 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#244) | 0.833 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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