Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | SFPA +180 COR -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SFPA -9.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -9.2 (-12.2) | 141.5 (+15.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -10.9 (-13.9) | 140.7 (+16.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -6.4 (-9.4) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2021 | COR 93 – 80 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#198) | 0.9 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#285) | -1.05 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#300) | -1.39 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.219 (#304) | 0.250 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 28.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 9.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 9.7% |
Game Analysis
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