Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | COR -14.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -10.7 (+2.3) | 156.9 (+16.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.7 (+2.3) | 155.5 (+17.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -10.0 (+3.0) | 153.3 (+19.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.4 (+2.6) | 154.4 (+18.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | COR 80 – 77 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#92) | -2.0 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#33) | -1.38 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#60) | -2.15 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#62) | 0.381 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 38.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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