Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | USU -275 SCU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +22 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | USU -14.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -9.3 (+12.7) | 147.5 (+22.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -11.0 (+11.0) | 146.8 (+23.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -10.6 (+11.4) | 153.6 (+16.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | USU 84 – 82 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#102) | -0.5 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#76) | 0.53 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#77) | 0.68 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.938 (#11) | 0.500 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 44.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 46.5 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.2% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 81.8% | 87.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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