Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | SCU +118 USU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -5.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -2.9 (+0.9) | 148.6 (+17.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -1.6 (-0.4) | 149.4 (+16.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -2.5 (+0.5) | 150.5 (+15.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -2.5 (+0.5) | 150.7 (+15.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | USU 96 – 74 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#151) | 11.5 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#120) | 2.49 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#128) | 3.01 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#143) | 0.640 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 52.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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