Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -4000 NWST +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +1 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -12.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -10.7 (-11.7) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -8.9 (-9.9) | 136.1 (-9.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -9.0 (-10.0) | 141.1 (-14.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2020 | TCU 74 – 68 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#272) | -6.6 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#117) | -2.70 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#123) | -3.67 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#212) | 0.406 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 22.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 17.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 7.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 29.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 59.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 50.6% |
Game Analysis
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