Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -2800 NWST +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -23.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -17.4 (-11.4) | 135.3 (+6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -14.8 (-8.8) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -14.0 (-8.0) | 137.9 (+4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -16.2 (-10.2) | 136.9 (+5.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | NWST 64 – 63 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#71) | -9.2 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#21) | -2.11 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#23) | -3.04 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#98) | 0.354 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.3% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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