Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -800 M-OH +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -16.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -13.2 (-6.2) | 144.5 (+2.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -10.2 (-3.2) | 145.1 (+1.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -10.0 (-3.0) | 145.5 (+1.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-9 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#177) | -6.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#176) | -2.22 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#172) | -3.15 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#131) | 0.250 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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