We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–12 on winners spread MAE 7.9 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Rutgers -3.3 136.7 43% 59–70 ✗
Mississippi State @ Alabama +6.6 153.5 75% 75–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette -0.5 134.2 54% 68–77 ✗
Boston University @ Holy Cross -6.9 142.2 20% 78–65 ✓
Navy @ American University -9.7 129.6 15% 55–46 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton -1.8 133.3 43% 82–93 ✗
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb +4.7 137.7 67% 81–70 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern -7.1 139.4 20% 85–66 ✓
Miami @ Louisville -1.5 143.5 41% 70–63 ✓
Boston College @ Notre Dame +10.3 132.2 84% 95–99 ✓
Vermont @ New Hampshire -7.1 139.1 23% 71–50 ✓
Stony Brook @ UMBC +2.1 150.4 62% 84–95 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT -2.7 136.5 40% 55–59 ✗
Maine @ Hartford +9.3 138.3 86% 65–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton +0.5 132.4 54% 68–67 ✗
Jacksonville @ Stetson -2.3 133.0 32% 67–45 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.2 155.1 69% 76–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +10.3 152.7 83% 71–83 ✓
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's +0.4 144.5 47% 75–70 ✗
Furman @ Western Carolina -11.2 145.3 16% 103–85 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer +1.3 144.7 65% 56–65 ✓
Wofford @ The Citadel -3.7 150.5 30% 65–58 ✓
Georgia @ LSU +17.9 147.0 90% 65–84 ✓
George Washington @ Duquesne +1.0 138.1 58% 73–52 ✗
Chicago State @ Stephen F. Austin +17.4 139.3 90% 71–88 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +5.1 146.8 71% 76–80 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +14.1 149.7 87% 64–90 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +14.1 155.3 88% 66–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -1.3 134.0 41% 69–56 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.9 151.4 27% 102–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +12.9 145.8 87% 76–67 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Lipscomb -2.7 146.1 35% 78–67 ✓
Bellarmine @ Central Arkansas -4.6 150.2 26% 79–69 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Valparaiso -10.8 140.1 17% 71–69 ✓
Evansville @ Drake +13.9 135.1 87% 51–73 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +5.3 141.9 73% 65–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Auburn +13.7 148.6 87% 80–94 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -3.1 152.6 38% 70–64 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech +2.1 140.2 67% 73–83 ✓
SMU @ Temple -1.9 138.4 42% 57–64 ✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin -7.9 138.0 22% 68–60 ✓
Utah Tech @ New Mexico State +13.9 142.5 88% 64–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ California Baptist -4.2 135.6 36% 65–60 ✓
Boise State @ Air Force -12.3 128.4 14% 85–59 ✓
UNLV @ Fresno State +5.6 131.0 72% 60–57 ✗
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -21.0 163.5 11% 86–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan -10.0 157.3 20% 83–69 ✓
Minnesota @ Penn State +5.5 131.0 75% 46–67 ✓
Towson @ UNC Wilmington -2.8 140.3 36% 79–55 ✓
Troy @ App State +2.3 131.0 59% 67–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.