I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–13 on winners spread MAE 8.5 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +10.0 147.9 83% 74–76 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma +0.6 130.7 51% 80–78 ✗
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart -0.0 135.6 44% 70–63 ✓
Memphis @ Cincinnati -0.1 141.6 49% 81–74 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's -2.7 138.1 37% 70–61 ✓
Hofstra @ Elon -6.0 145.9 28% 97–64 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida -4.4 133.6 29% 76–57 ✓
Clemson @ Florida State +1.6 142.8 62% 80–81 ✓
Liberty @ North Florida -5.5 140.7 28% 69–72 ✗
VCU @ Fordham -4.3 130.4 27% 66–61 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ball State +5.4 148.6 73% 64–58 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan -0.9 148.4 39% 75–70 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ohio +12.3 143.8 87% 78–91 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green -5.3 163.7 28% 112–85 ✓
South Carolina @ Ole Miss +3.0 141.0 64% 77–74 ✗
Florida @ Texas A&M +1.0 138.4 57% 55–56 ✓
Villanova @ Providence -1.0 135.9 48% 89–84 ✓
NC State @ Georgia Tech +1.4 144.3 57% 76–61 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -2.0 151.2 38% 72–70 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -1.4 129.4 45% 57–65 ✗
Indiana State @ Missouri State +12.7 143.1 87% 70–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +10.2 141.1 82% 45–70 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +2.5 143.1 66% 63–76 ✓
Wisconsin @ Indiana +2.9 134.3 67% 74–69 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico -5.8 154.2 28% 66–75 ✗
Arkansas @ Missouri -6.7 142.7 23% 76–57 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon State -7.2 138.8 27% 90–64 ✓
Butler @ DePaul +5.6 134.3 68% 73–71 ✗
Iowa State @ TCU +3.2 133.2 61% 54–51 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego -4.2 135.8 32% 56–50 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +4.3 131.3 73% 56–75 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +9.7 141.7 85% 72–81 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairfield +4.8 141.5 71% 74–67 ✗
Colgate @ Army -4.6 142.8 27% 100–90 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate +2.7 143.6 61% 55–60 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier +7.5 152.3 77% 86–73 ✗
Campbell @ Radford -1.7 128.7 41% 67–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.