I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 8.5 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego — — — 79–65 —
USC @ Arizona State -8.0 147.4 19% 73–64 ✓
Georgetown @ Syracuse +15.4 148.3 87% 69–74 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans +0.1 139.2 51% 64–86 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +5.9 128.2 74% 71–74 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Kentucky +12.5 146.4 86% 80–90 ✓
Stetson @ North Alabama -1.4 145.2 49% 66–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky +5.2 142.2 73% 63–58 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion +8.1 137.2 78% 55–64 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +9.5 126.4 73% 66–64 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +5.2 145.0 70% 68–70 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -20.5 170.9 11% 116–88 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City -0.5 134.1 41% 68–62 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +4.4 148.8 72% 77–81 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -3.2 138.8 37% 59–48 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.7 151.9 63% 72–75 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +7.9 143.8 80% 57–74 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota State +9.6 135.4 81% 66–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota State +12.2 152.2 85% 63–92 ✓
LSU @ Ole Miss +1.4 147.9 53% 75–61 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +5.8 147.7 71% 81–76 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +10.4 135.9 84% 67–69 ✓
Rice @ UTEP +10.7 150.8 81% 71–68 ✗
Oregon @ Utah -3.2 136.8 36% 79–73 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +14.1 132.9 86% 50–65 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +7.2 149.6 76% 73–74 ✓
UMBC @ New Hampshire -2.6 133.0 32% 68–66 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +11.9 153.8 85% 83–91 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Hampton -0.2 143.0 43% 85–77 ✓
Hartford @ UMass Lowell +1.9 132.9 59% 75–58 ✗
Drexel @ Charleston -1.7 131.4 45% 68–73 ✗
South Carolina State @ Florida A&M +17.3 143.6 91% 68–70 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State -0.7 139.2 49% 85–89 ✗
Illinois State @ Evansville +5.4 133.9 73% 73–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Valparaiso -6.3 146.3 29% 78–68 ✓
Marist @ Monmouth +8.1 145.5 78% 62–72 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -5.4 143.4 27% 84–44 ✓
Maine @ NJIT +6.5 132.0 70% 45–41 ✗
Minnesota @ Iowa +9.7 163.1 80% 71–86 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +7.7 142.7 78% 58–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +11.7 143.8 82% 70–61 ✗
Siena @ Fairfield -11.1 134.2 16% 75–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa -2.4 136.7 47% 72–78 ✗
Radford @ Charleston Southern -7.5 130.7 18% 68–48 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +5.7 145.9 69% 76–82 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +12.9 146.4 86% 63–77 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska -6.7 142.0 21% 84–76 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +15.9 147.0 87% 76–87 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University -7.0 152.0 27% 89–45 ✓
Campbell @ Longwood +0.6 138.1 56% 69–78 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State -4.6 139.2 35% 71–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.