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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–1 on winners
spread MAE 4.4
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco
@
Loyola Marymount
|
+0.6 | 139.4 | 51% | 60–68 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Fresno State
|
+13.4 | 148.0 | 89% | 65–80 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Illinois
|
+12.0 | 151.0 | 83% | 66–63 | ✗ |
Temple
@
SMU
|
+11.7 | 141.4 | 85% | 68–79 | ✓ |
UConn
@
DePaul
|
-7.3 | 144.6 | 17% | 60–53 | ✓ |
Colorado
@
Utah
|
-5.4 | 137.3 | 32% | 65–58 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.