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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.5
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loyola Chicago
@
Indiana State
|
-2.5 | 138.4 | 43% | 58–48 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Northern Iowa
|
-0.3 | 140.8 | 47% | 75–73 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+0.6 | 144.2 | 61% | 67–73 | ✓ |
Boise State
@
Wyoming
|
-12.9 | 156.1 | 17% | 83–60 | ✓ |
Buffalo
@
Western Michigan
|
-10.0 | 145.1 | 17% | 85–69 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Northern Illinois
|
-11.4 | 133.4 | 22% | 65–67 | ✗ |
Kent State
@
Central Michigan
|
-6.8 | 151.3 | 23% | 94–85 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-7.1 | 133.6 | 17% | 64–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.