Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.7 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Winthrop @ Longwood +2.5 161.3 62% 85–59 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic -0.3 135.7 41% 71–61 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +4.9 123.8 61% 47–60 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.4 140.8 69% 69–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst +7.1 142.1 82% 68–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +14.8 144.3 89% 75–84 ✓
Maine @ New Hampshire -8.5 136.5 20% 73–66 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -5.7 130.0 18% 71–61 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay +1.5 147.5 58% 71–76 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne +9.0 151.7 74% 79–74 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Campbell +0.3 140.1 49% 79–60 ✗
Elon @ Monmouth -1.8 142.4 55% 76–79 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Northeastern +9.1 142.0 82% 55–69 ✓
Hampton @ Drexel +2.4 134.4 54% 52–53 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +5.4 143.0 75% 73–88 ✓
Delaware @ Charleston +8.5 157.3 81% 84–94 ✓
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -4.6 133.4 37% 56–59 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +2.3 139.8 65% 75–63 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Florida International -3.6 139.7 36% 61–76 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +8.4 131.8 80% 55–59 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +6.3 146.1 76% 66–71 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State -2.8 132.2 36% 52–67 ✗
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -9.7 155.9 21% 77–69 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +11.4 161.4 85% 71–86 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +5.3 137.3 68% 56–64 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +6.9 143.5 77% 82–69 ✗
Southern Indiana @ UT Martin +4.6 146.4 66% 63–79 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +0.6 139.5 50% 83–68 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +6.2 145.0 78% 55–64 ✓
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois -4.3 131.3 35% 60–71 ✗
Rutgers @ Michigan +11.9 153.7 87% 82–84 ✓
UAB @ Wichita State +1.1 155.2 61% 80–72 ✗
Idaho State @ Idaho -0.3 146.8 47% 69–65 ✓
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +4.0 140.9 65% 66–64 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State +0.2 145.6 46% 76–82 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +1.8 142.2 57% 82–75 ✗
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +10.4 150.4 85% 71–85 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP +3.3 148.8 65% 80–73 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +1.3 138.0 54% 71–66 ✗
San Diego @ Washington State +12.1 156.7 86% 86–93 ✓
Montana @ Sacramento State -7.7 138.9 25% 60–54 ✓
Montana State @ Portland State +2.4 141.2 62% 52–69 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -3.9 143.5 31% 77–71 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +7.1 153.9 77% 77–96 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -14.2 140.5 13% 76–51 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -2.8 137.2 35% 88–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +0.3 155.4 53% 67–87 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +2.1 140.0 64% 48–72 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -11.1 133.4 14% 58–55 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i -1.0 143.6 46% 82–76 ✓
Brown @ Harvard -0.5 143.4 46% 59–52 ✓
Yale @ Dartmouth -5.7 151.0 30% 72–67 ✓
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan -1.7 146.1 53% 73–84 ✗
Iona @ Niagara -0.2 138.0 41% 65–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.