You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–8 on winners spread MAE 6.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ Auburn +15.6 154.6 87% 76–106 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M +6.4 142.8 74% 86–84 ✗
Notre Dame @ Clemson +14.6 144.2 88% 68–83 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +21.4 160.9 91% 66–88 ✓
Radford @ Gardner-Webb -0.3 146.5 48% 63–56 ✓
Kansas State @ UCF +1.4 154.2 57% 76–80 ✓
South Florida @ Temple +4.8 156.0 73% 71–73 ✓
NC State @ Syracuse +1.6 147.8 61% 60–74 ✓
Fordham @ George Mason +12.9 138.8 87% 64–74 ✓
Dayton @ Rhode Island -0.7 150.8 43% 85–77 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Joseph's +5.7 133.4 73% 64–75 ✓
UIC @ Northern Iowa +6.7 145.3 78% 52–74 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland -2.2 142.6 35% 70–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ Colgate +4.8 146.0 76% 73–81 ✓
Navy @ American University +4.8 134.3 71% 68–60 ✗
Queens University @ North Alabama +9.5 154.5 82% 69–74 ✓
Stetson @ Jacksonville +13.1 144.7 88% 72–79 ✓
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.4 147.9 87% 61–80 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -0.6 161.8 48% 86–81 ✓
Austin Peay @ West Georgia -3.8 144.4 41% 70–73 ✗
Wofford @ Western Carolina -10.1 142.5 17% 90–67 ✓
The Citadel @ Furman +15.7 139.4 88% 42–85 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulane +7.0 143.3 78% 64–78 ✓
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina -0.4 145.7 48% 74–80 ✗
Rice @ Memphis +14.1 148.6 88% 72–84 ✓
George Washington @ Loyola Chicago +2.1 141.0 63% 57–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore -7.5 141.9 27% 59–68 ✗
Drake @ Evansville -9.0 129.0 14% 65–61 ✓
Belmont @ Missouri State -0.9 147.8 39% 74–65 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +20.7 147.0 91% 60–78 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +11.4 167.6 83% 78–82 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +4.4 146.8 73% 78–83 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall -8.7 132.8 18% 59–54 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss -6.8 142.8 26% 88–82 ✓
Arkansas State @ Louisiana -10.7 143.4 18% 83–64 ✓
St. John's @ Butler -3.3 150.0 32% 76–70 ✓
Kentucky @ Oklahoma -2.2 160.0 37% 83–82 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +13.1 151.9 87% 66–83 ✓
Virginia @ Wake Forest +5.8 133.0 59% 83–75 ✗
Boston College @ Stanford +10.3 145.6 84% 60–78 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -5.0 151.4 31% 76–65 ✓
DePaul @ Creighton +12.1 144.6 88% 65–75 ✓
Texas @ Arkansas +4.7 146.8 70% 81–86 ✓
BYU @ Arizona State -1.7 150.4 40% 91–81 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +2.5 145.7 61% 65–82 ✓
Ohio State @ USC -2.1 153.2 43% 87–82 ✓
SMU @ California -6.1 153.7 28% 81–77 ✓
San Francisco @ Oregon State +1.2 141.5 58% 74–72 ✗
Bryant @ UMass Lowell -1.6 159.9 41% 79–78 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +0.7 157.9 51% 78–74 ✗
Samford @ VMI -7.2 148.6 23% 95–83 ✓
Robert Morris @ IU Indianapolis -6.7 148.7 23% 82–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.