Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WGA +160 APSU -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -2.6 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -2.1 (+5.1) | 142.0 (+1.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -3.5 (+6.5) | 141.8 (+1.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -3.9 (+6.9) | 145.1 (-2.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -3.8 (+6.8) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | APSU 81 – 78 WGA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WGA 72 – 68 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#343) | -7.1 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#351) | -0.91 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#352) | -1.19 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#345) | 0.469 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.