Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | USC +115 OSU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +5 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -2.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.6 (-3.4) | 151.3 (+17.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.0 (-3.0) | 152.3 (+16.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -1.3 (-3.7) | 152.6 (+16.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.1 (-2.9) | 153.2 (+15.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | OSU 89 – 82 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#60) | 15.3 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#68) | 1.87 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#58) | 2.78 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#85) | 0.559 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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