Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -360 USC +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -6.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -6.2 (+0.8) | 152.9 (+18.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -5.4 (+1.6) | 150.7 (+20.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -5.0 (+2.0) | 151.9 (+19.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -5.4 (+1.6) | 153.6 (+17.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | OSU 87 – 82 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#40) | 10.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#47) | 2.56 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#45) | 2.88 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#62) | 0.594 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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