Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NE -900 NCAT +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NE -10.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -9.4 (+4.6) | 141.1 (-17.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -9.3 (+4.7) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -9.0 (+5.0) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -9.1 (+4.9) | 142.0 (-18.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NE 88 – 72 NCAT |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NE 85 – 74 NCAT |
| Jan 19, 2024 | NCAT 72 – 65 NE |
| Dec 30, 2022 | NE 88 – 76 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#210) | -9.9 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#198) | -2.20 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#198) | -2.91 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#187) | 0.405 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.