Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -125 IDST +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -0.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.3 (-4.3) | 145.8 (-11.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -1.3 (-2.7) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -0.3 (-3.7) | 146.8 (-12.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -0.1 (-4.1) | 148.5 (-14.5) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IDHO 99 – 69 IDST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | IDST 76 – 68 IDHO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IDST 87 – 71 IDHO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IDHO 55 – 53 IDST |
| Jan 19, 2024 | IDST 64 – 59 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#252) | -2.2 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#257) | -0.91 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#259) | -0.90 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#273) | 0.444 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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