Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
32–21 on winners spread MAE 9.5 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulsa @ Wichita State -1.1 153.8 46% 77–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -4.9 166.0 33% 79–89 ✗
Georgetown @ UConn +17.5 141.8 94% 75–79 ✓
Virginia @ Ohio State -4.5 154.8 34% 70–66 ✓
Memphis @ Utah State +14.7 151.0 91% 75–99 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Kansas City -15.2 152.2 8% 104–64 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -6.2 147.4 29% 87–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -5.8 158.6 30% 60–84 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona -1.5 154.8 45% 74–79 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +2.4 147.0 59% 80–82 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -4.9 165.0 33% 87–101 ✗
South Carolina @ Alabama +17.8 168.9 95% 75–89 ✓
Auburn @ Arkansas +7.0 171.7 74% 75–88 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss -3.7 153.7 37% 65–69 ✗
Texas @ Missouri -1.3 157.2 45% 85–68 ✓
Minnesota @ Washington +7.2 139.0 74% 57–69 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +1.8 145.3 56% 82–71 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -1.1 143.9 46% 65–70 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +5.2 148.3 68% 57–71 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +7.8 151.4 76% 65–86 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego +14.0 143.8 90% 66–72 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pacific -7.5 136.2 25% 72–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -5.7 159.1 30% 94–86 ✓
UTSA @ Charlotte +17.0 147.6 94% 88–79 ✗
Utah @ Cincinnati +10.1 144.2 82% 65–69 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +1.6 148.2 56% 57–68 ✓
Indiana @ Illinois +10.7 156.5 83% 51–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +3.1 145.0 61% 73–83 ✓
Denver @ Omaha +1.1 165.9 54% 76–83 ✓
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -1.0 153.0 46% 70–76 ✗
Manhattan @ Canisius -0.2 145.2 49% 69–65 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +5.2 144.7 68% 75–76 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois +4.4 150.0 66% 70–60 ✗
North Texas @ Temple +1.9 134.7 57% 65–62 ✗
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic -3.0 171.3 39% 83–81 ✓
Tulane @ UAB +8.4 152.3 78% 55–54 ✗
Rider @ Sacred Heart +11.1 148.8 84% 75–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +3.8 145.2 64% 74–83 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +2.3 140.3 58% 56–49 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris -0.2 163.4 49% 69–93 ✗
Wright State @ Cleveland State -8.3 160.0 23% 102–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.4 168.3 75% 78–83 ✓
Iona @ Niagara -6.3 137.4 28% 68–70 ✗
Siena @ Marist +3.7 129.2 63% 67–63 ✗
Drake @ Northern Iowa +9.3 132.5 80% 62–86 ✓
Illinois State @ UIC -2.1 138.6 42% 56–83 ✗
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +0.9 148.5 53% 72–75 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +3.7 141.8 63% 59–70 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama -4.6 152.9 34% 78–84 ✗
Charleston @ Campbell +1.2 159.3 54% 62–57 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State -0.7 173.9 47% 87–70 ✓
San Francisco @ San Diego -3.0 152.8 39% 92–79 ✓
Seton Hall @ Butler +0.1 142.5 50% 63–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.