Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -298 MINN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -7.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -6.1 (+5.9) | 134.5 (-8.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -6.3 (+5.7) | 134.4 (-8.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -6.4 (+5.6) | 135.0 (-9.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -5.8 (+6.2) | 134.0 (-8.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | WASH 71 – 68 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#46) | 7.3 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#78) | 0.96 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#65) | 1.32 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#91) | 0.506 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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