Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -185 WASH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -3.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -3.9 (-6.9) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.8 (-5.8) | 136.7 (+2.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -3.5 (-6.5) | 138.3 (+0.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -3.2 (-6.2) | 138.3 (+0.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | WASH 69 – 57 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-9 | 9-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#99) | 5.0 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#74) | 0.92 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#67) | 1.34 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#109) | 0.522 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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