Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | USU -1200 MEM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +24 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | USU -13.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -14.5 (+9.5) | 148.7 (+25.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | USU -12.3 (+11.7) | 147.5 (+26.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | USU -14.5 (+9.5) | 148.1 (+25.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -12.9 (+11.1) | 149.1 (+24.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#27) | 5.7 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#30) | 0.47 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#35) | 0.77 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#16) | 0.514 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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