So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
37–11 on winners spread MAE 8.0 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Hofstra @ Purdue +19.3 149.1 96% 66–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee +31.7 129.0 100% 49–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Central Michigan +7.8 135.7 76% 71–66 ✗
Rider @ Stonehill +1.7 149.2 56% 78–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield +8.4 141.1 78% 59–61 ✓
Alabama State @ North Alabama +11.0 149.8 84% 63–71 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Holy Cross -11.9 135.2 14% 75–71 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +2.7 143.8 60% 61–66 ✓
NJIT @ Army +11.6 143.4 85% 62–63 ✓
Delaware State @ Delaware +15.9 139.8 93% 69–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Davidson +12.3 155.6 87% 64–72 ✓
William & Mary @ Old Dominion +8.5 132.2 78% 62–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ VCU +4.0 116.6 64% 73–62 ✗
Cleveland State @ St. Bonaventure +3.7 129.0 63% 42–61 ✓
Brown @ Rhode Island +1.6 124.6 56% 59–58 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +10.4 138.9 83% 53–85 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +9.5 152.2 81% 59–70 ✓
Navy @ West Virginia +17.8 141.6 95% 64–85 ✓
Boston University @ Notre Dame +8.2 135.6 77% 75–81 ✓
Cornell @ Miami +11.7 152.4 86% 105–107 ✓
Colgate @ Binghamton -7.6 155.1 25% 81–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Illinois State +8.9 147.9 79% 81–87 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Illinois -7.5 134.2 25% 76–59 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Tulsa +3.8 158.1 64% 76–72 ✗
Campbell @ Evansville -3.8 130.0 36% 66–72 ✗
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +5.9 138.6 70% 74–71 ✗
Omaha @ Drake +16.8 138.7 94% 65–78 ✓
Nicholls @ Texas Tech +23.4 135.9 98% 71–78 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia Tech +8.7 127.2 79% 49–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southeast Missouri State +11.5 136.5 85% 89–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Indiana +14.4 131.2 90% 65–81 ✓
Manhattan @ Providence +14.9 139.8 91% 59–99 ✓
UConn @ Florida -6.8 151.4 27% 75–54 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Washington State +19.0 134.7 96% 47–68 ✓
Utah Valley @ BYU +5.3 149.5 69% 75–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Grand Canyon +4.8 132.7 67% 69–65 ✗
Arizona State @ SMU -8.6 127.1 22% 75–57 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Vanderbilt +3.7 137.1 63% 74–75 ✓
Towson @ Clemson +5.4 134.7 69% 75–80 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Fresno State +9.0 123.9 79% 56–65 ✓
New Mexico State @ Santa Clara +5.3 155.6 68% 65–66 ✓
Denver @ Sacramento State +5.8 146.4 70% 85–87 ✓
Weber State @ California Baptist +13.3 127.5 89% 52–64 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +16.7 115.4 94% 46–66 ✓
Hawai'i @ UNLV +3.7 127.8 63% 62–77 ✓
Eastern Washington @ California +1.9 125.6 57% 50–48 ✗
Merrimack @ San Francisco +22.0 131.8 98% 51–69 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ USC +11.8 145.6 86% 50–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.