← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.3
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Ohio State
|
+4.7 | 133.9 | 66% | 66–67 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Massachusetts
|
+2.3 | 143.8 | 58% | 85–80 | ✗ |
Marshall
@
Duquesne
|
+1.1 | 153.3 | 54% | 82–71 | ✗ |
Iowa State
@
Iowa
|
+5.0 | 136.9 | 67% | 56–75 | ✓ |
St. Thomas
@
Montana State
|
+1.8 | 145.0 | 57% | 65–82 | ✓ |
Michigan
@
Minnesota
|
-2.3 | 135.2 | 42% | 90–75 | ✓ |
Colorado State
@
Colorado
|
+8.2 | 143.8 | 77% | 65–93 | ✓ |
Jacksonville State
@
Utah
|
+19.4 | 133.8 | 96% | 58–99 | ✓ |
Stony Brook
@
Bryant
|
+23.4 | 153.4 | 98% | 60–79 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.