I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–20 on winners spread MAE 8.3 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wichita State @ Memphis +12.2 152.5 87% 53–61 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire -12.0 147.4 14% 95–76 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +12.5 130.9 87% 64–68 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia State -3.4 147.1 34% 92–79 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +1.5 147.0 58% 85–83 ✗
Campbell @ Stony Brook -2.3 133.2 38% 79–54 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Towson +11.6 140.7 83% 67–83 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +3.1 142.6 67% 68–93 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern +1.4 130.3 62% 61–70 ✓
Monmouth @ Elon +9.3 141.0 84% 71–83 ✓
North Florida @ Queens University +4.4 158.2 74% 90–81 ✗
Lipscomb @ North Alabama -1.4 143.4 42% 64–74 ✗
Jacksonville @ West Georgia -6.5 135.9 22% 79–62 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +10.2 151.7 82% 67–66 ✗
Samford @ Chattanooga -0.7 158.6 47% 73–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Siena +3.1 140.8 66% 68–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Peter's +0.5 123.2 39% 48–37 ✗
Iona @ Rider +0.2 133.4 37% 73–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Canisius -4.4 145.6 33% 93–84 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan +4.7 145.8 63% 87–84 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +4.2 143.5 70% 67–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas -0.3 141.1 49% 73–71 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston -1.6 149.1 45% 77–75 ✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +4.3 126.5 64% 56–67 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Arlington -0.0 142.6 52% 56–65 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota +2.3 167.7 66% 102–93 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -3.2 140.6 34% 65–64 ✓
Denver @ Oral Roberts +3.1 147.5 60% 70–68 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Omaha -1.9 157.6 50% 78–89 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah -8.8 149.1 17% 74–59 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +2.8 149.0 75% 77–89 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +6.9 137.7 76% 76–82 ✓
Little Rock @ Western Illinois -3.8 132.6 27% 62–51 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood -1.6 138.9 49% 68–72 ✗
Maryland @ Illinois +8.6 155.3 77% 91–70 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -3.3 151.2 37% 76–77 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +2.9 139.7 66% 70–61 ✗
App State @ Arkansas State +5.7 135.8 71% 55–65 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -1.2 133.4 62% 66–68 ✗
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +9.6 133.2 81% 51–71 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -4.0 131.3 27% 73–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ New Mexico State +4.5 146.4 70% 69–56 ✗
Jacksonville State @ UTEP +1.6 139.3 65% 73–66 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +12.8 144.1 87% 63–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State -8.3 130.1 20% 71–75 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State +4.3 138.9 67% 56–74 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +11.2 135.8 87% 63–77 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton -3.6 138.0 36% 71–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -5.7 141.8 40% 80–84 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +11.9 142.9 87% 76–86 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +0.3 149.2 58% 82–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -4.9 143.9 33% 73–68 ✓
Washington State @ Santa Clara +5.7 154.9 73% 65–93 ✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist -0.1 138.3 48% 74–69 ✓
Toledo @ Bowling Green -1.0 153.4 51% 84–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.