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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Virginia Tech +3.5 147.3 67% 75–71 ✗
Missouri State @ Evansville -0.1 143.5 55% 74–64 ✓
Drexel @ Elon -8.7 140.4 26% 89–69 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -3.4 133.1 35% 73–49 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +11.2 144.9 84% 72–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +0.6 142.1 51% 70–54 ✗
Bryant @ New Hampshire +3.2 161.5 65% 89–74 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -3.5 137.8 41% 66–69 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -4.8 143.8 26% 79–58 ✓
Utah Valley @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.0 143.7 37% 68–76 ✗
Cincinnati @ Baylor +7.1 147.2 75% 59–62 ✓
California @ Oregon +12.4 148.4 87% 73–80 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -6.2 146.8 24% 66–58 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +1.5 137.2 56% 76–58 ✗
North Dakota State @ Omaha +3.2 142.7 71% 92–96 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oral Roberts +0.9 138.5 44% 87–76 ✗
Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon +11.6 137.3 86% 48–74 ✓
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +5.5 137.5 74% 53–68 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +1.7 154.2 55% 81–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State +14.0 139.8 89% 42–66 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama +1.5 148.4 55% 81–72 ✗
Alabama @ Mississippi State -0.8 154.4 32% 82–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah -2.3 151.4 36% 84–82 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +13.9 138.4 88% 64–81 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +11.6 143.7 85% 47–90 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +1.4 129.9 52% 64–66 ✓
San José State @ Air Force +0.7 134.6 54% 70–67 ✗
USC @ Colorado +7.4 150.4 77% 58–68 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego +1.0 145.3 50% 83–77 ✗
Portland @ San Francisco +17.6 143.0 90% 69–96 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -8.5 134.1 19% 86–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +1.0 152.6 55% 76–85 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i +5.4 133.7 72% 56–63 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +19.6 143.4 91% 67–80 ✓
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +14.7 155.2 88% 73–86 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State +10.3 137.2 84% 55–73 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State -1.8 152.7 41% 112–86 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +5.5 141.9 76% 70–87 ✓
Cleveland State @ Green Bay +0.4 138.8 46% 71–79 ✓
Maryland @ Illinois +11.4 143.6 83% 76–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan -7.6 128.5 19% 81–68 ✓
Rider @ Marist +2.9 132.7 58% 60–83 ✓
Tulane @ Tulsa -1.8 155.1 44% 94–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +6.4 137.3 72% 59–50 ✗
Liberty @ Louisiana Tech +2.6 132.1 69% 76–80 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Murray State +0.4 140.9 46% 70–60 ✗
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +3.2 145.4 71% 74–79 ✓
Utah @ Stanford -5.2 155.6 33% 73–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.