Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -500 VAL +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAL +9 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -9.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -6.8 (-15.8) | 137.5 (-28.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -6.4 (-15.4) | 137.3 (-28.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -5.8 (-14.8) | 135.0 (-26.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -6.3 (-15.3) | 135.9 (-26.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | ILST 86 – 64 VAL |
| Jan 8, 2026 | VAL 77 – 71 ILST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ILST 86 – 78 VAL |
| Mar 3, 2024 | VAL 75 – 72 ILST |
| Feb 12, 2023 | VAL 81 – 76 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#225) | -8.0 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#199) | -1.63 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#201) | -1.56 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#193) | 0.432 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.