Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SIU +110 DRKE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -3.9 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -1.5 (-19.5) | 137.2 (-3.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -2.6 (-20.6) | 138.7 (-4.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -2.7 (-20.7) | 140.4 (-6.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -2.9 (-20.9) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 13-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#81) | 6.9 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#102) | 1.80 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#92) | 2.26 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#122) | 0.589 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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